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Volatility · Volatility-band breakout

US500 Volatility Breakout 20·2σ · 1H

Volatility-band breakout on US500 CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−17.0%Backtest
Max drawdown−11.1%Volatility 10.1%
Sharpe-1.59Trades 127
Since go-live—awaiting first trade
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:55 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Mar 23May 10Jun 27Aug 14Oct 2+2%−4%−9%
Annual return−17.0%
Max drawdown−11.1%
Sharpe-1.59
Trades127
Winning trades31%
Time in market60%

Backtest on real historical prices from Mar 23, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Hyperliquid)

Methodology
  1. Long when price closes above the upper volatility band (20-bar mean + 2σ), short below the lower band.
  2. Exit when price falls back to the moving average.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 10:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.5-1.30.2-2.5-6.33.0-2.4-0.8-9.4%