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Volatility · Volatility-band breakout

US500 · JP225 Volatility Breakout 20·1.5σ · 1D

Volatility-band breakout on US500, JP225 CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−15.2%Backtest
Max drawdown−7.1%Volatility 7.5%
Sharpe-2.17Trades 8
Since go-live+0.34% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:53 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.33%+0.11%−0.10%
Live trade history · last 2: 0 in profit · 2 at a loss
ClosedMarketEntryExitResult
Oct 5, 08:53 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▲ US5007,715.67,715.7−0.01%
Oct 5, 08:53 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▲ JP22569,95069,707−0.36%
Backtest on real market data
Jul 2Jul 25Aug 17Sep 9Oct 2+1%−2%−5%
Annual return−15.2%
Max drawdown−7.1%
Sharpe-2.17
Trades8
Winning trades25%
Time in market73%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jul 2, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Hyperliquid)

Methodology
  1. Long when price closes above the upper volatility band (20-bar mean + 1.5σ), short below the lower band.
  2. Exit when price falls back to the moving average.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 5:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.4-2.4-3.21.1-4.1%