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Mean reversion · Bollinger band reversion

Copper Band Reversion 20·2.2σ · 4H

Bollinger band reversion on Copper CFDs, evaluated on completed 4H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+1.6%Backtest
Max drawdown−2.6%Volatility 7.4%
Sharpe0.76Trades 27
Since go-live+0.03% Live
In the OctoHex System since Oct 5, 06:30 AM — client money follows this strategy.
Live equity
06:15 AM07:11 AM08:07 AM09:03 AM10:00 AM+0.23%+0.06%−0.11%
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Mar 20May 8Jun 26Aug 14Oct 2+3%0%−3%
Annual return+1.6%
Max drawdown−2.6%
Sharpe0.76
Trades27
Winning trades67%
Time in market38%

Backtest on real historical prices from Mar 20, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Buy a close below the lower band (20-bar mean − 2.2σ), sell short a close above the upper band.
  2. Exit when price returns to the moving average.
  3. Protective stop: exit if price moves 3× ATR(14) against the entry; no re-entry in the same direction until the signal flips.
  4. Trades both directions (long and short).
  5. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 5:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2026-1.50.7-0.0-0.32.30.6-0.4-0.40.9%