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Statistical arbitrage · Pairs spread reversion

Brent/WTI Oil Pair Spread z2 · 1D

Pairs spread reversion on Brent Crude Oil, WTI Crude Oil CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−0.4%Backtest
Max drawdown−0.3%Volatility 0.5%
Sharpe-0.97Trades 4
Since go-live+0.01% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:51 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.012%−0.021%−0.055%
Live trade history · last 2: 1 in profit · 1 at a loss
ClosedMarketEntryExitResult
Oct 5, 08:51 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▼ BRENT101.40101.63−0.24%
Oct 5, 08:51 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▲ WTI89.9890.00+0.01%
Backtest on real market data
Jun 24Jul 19Aug 13Sep 7Oct 2+0.15%+0.02%−0.11%
Annual return−0.4%
Max drawdown−0.3%
Sharpe-0.97
Trades4
Winning trades50%
Time in market33%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jun 24, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Trades the log-price spread of the first two instruments. When its 60-bar z-score exceeds +2, short the first and buy the second; below −2 the opposite.
  2. Both legs are closed when |z| falls below 0.5. The book is close to market-neutral.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 8% annualised volatility (risk level 2/5), capped at 5:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.00.00.00.1-0.3-0.1%