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Seasonal · Turn-of-the-month seasonality

IWM Turn-of-Month · 1D

Turn-of-the-month seasonality on IWM CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+0.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−0.3%Volatility 1.7%
Sharpe3.26Trades 1
Since go-live—market closed
In the OctoHex System since Oct 5, 06:30 AM — client money follows this strategy.
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Sep 2Sep 9Sep 17Sep 24Oct 2+0.44%+0.18%−0.07%
Annual return+0.5%
Max drawdown−0.3%
Sharpe3.26
Trades1
Winning trades100%
Time in market23%

Backtest on real historical prices from Sep 2, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Long from 2 calendar day(s) before month end until day 3 of the new month; flat otherwise.
  2. Long-only: short signals mean the position is flat.
  3. Position size targets 8% annualised volatility (risk level 2/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2026-0.10.50.5%