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Seasonal · Turn-of-the-month seasonality

US100 Turn-of-Month · 1D

Turn-of-the-month seasonality on US100 CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+0.2%Backtest
Max drawdown−1.1%Volatility 1.3%
Sharpe0.13Trades 6
Since go-live—awaiting first trade
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:50 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Jan 26Mar 26May 26Jul 26Oct 26+0.80%+0.29%−0.22%
Annual return+0.2%
Max drawdown−1.1%
Sharpe0.13
Trades6
Winning trades67%
Time in market6%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jan 5, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Hyperliquid)

Methodology
  1. Long from 1 calendar day(s) before month end until day 1 of the new month; flat otherwise.
  2. Long-only: short signals mean the position is flat.
  3. Position size targets 8% annualised volatility (risk level 2/5), capped at 3:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.00.00.00.30.20.3-1.00.4-0.40.30.1%