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Mean reversion · Bollinger band reversion

NFLX Band Reversion 20·2σ · 1H

Bollinger band reversion on NFLX CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+15.2%Backtest
Max drawdown−4.1%Volatility 12.8%
Sharpe1.21Trades 18
Since go-live—market closed
In the OctoHex System since Oct 5, 06:30 AM — client money follows this strategy.
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Jun 22Jul 17Aug 12Sep 6Oct 2+7%+3%−1%
Annual return+15.2%
Max drawdown−4.1%
Sharpe1.21
Trades18
Winning trades67%
Time in market61%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jun 22, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Alpaca)

Methodology
  1. Buy a close below the lower band (20-bar mean − 2σ), sell short a close above the upper band.
  2. Exit when price returns to the moving average.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 18% annualised volatility (risk level 4/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.90.15.8-1.3-1.54.0%