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Volatility · Volatility-band breakout

Gold Volatility Breakout 20·1.5σ · 15m

Volatility-band breakout on XAU/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 15m bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−16.3%Backtest
Max drawdown−16.3%Volatility 15.7%
Sharpe-4.54Trades 318
Since go-live+0.23% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:51 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
01:00 PM01:18 PM01:37 PM01:56 PM02:15 PM+0.31%+0.16%+0.01%
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Jul 7Jul 29Aug 20Sep 11Oct 40%−8%−16%
Annual return−16.3%
Max drawdown−16.3%
Sharpe-4.54
Trades318
Winning trades32%
Time in market69%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jul 7, 2026 to Oct 4, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Long when price closes above the upper volatility band (20-bar mean + 1.5σ), short below the lower band.
  2. Exit when price falls back to the moving average.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 18% annualised volatility (risk level 4/5), capped at 10:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2026-5.7-4.5-4.9-2.3-16.3%