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Market neutral · Pairs spread reversion

Crypto Pairs (8) Pair Spread z2 · 1D

Pairs spread reversion on BTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD, BNB/USD, XRP/USD, ADA/USD, AVAX/USD, LINK/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−2.7%Backtest
Max drawdown−18.3%Volatility 3.4%
Sharpe-0.79Trades 252
Since go-live+0.00% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:51 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.007%0.000%−0.006%
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Jun 21Oct 22Feb 24Jun 25Oct 260%−8%−17%
Annual return−2.7%
Max drawdown−18.3%
Sharpe-0.79
Trades252
Winning trades51%
Time in market87%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jun 13, 2021 to Oct 3, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Trades the log-price spread of the first two instruments. When its 60-bar z-score exceeds +2, short the first and buy the second; below −2 the opposite.
  2. Both legs are closed when |z| falls below 0.5. The book is close to market-neutral.
  3. Trades both directions (long and short).
  4. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20210.00.0-1.4-2.40.8-0.80.3-3.5%
20220.1-0.2-0.10.1-1.20.50.10.1-1.0-0.4-1.40.7-2.8%
2023-0.30.6-0.00.4-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.2-0.6-1.9-0.4-5.8-9.0%
20241.80.60.7-0.30.20.4-0.4-0.3-0.1-0.81.0-0.12.8%
2025-0.60.2-0.0-0.40.3-0.3-0.9-1.50.9-0.50.10.1-2.6%
20260.10.3-0.00.1-0.50.30.1-0.31.20.11.3%