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Breakout · Donchian channel breakout

Crypto Basket (4) Breakout 55/20 · 12H

Donchian channel breakout on BTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD, BNB/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 12H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+3.0%Backtest
Max drawdown−31.8%Volatility 19.4%
Sharpe0.25Trades 108
Since go-live+0.04% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:52 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.23%+0.02%−0.18%
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Nov 23Jul 24Apr 25Jan 26Oct 26+29%+12%−4%
Annual return+3.0%
Max drawdown−31.8%
Sharpe0.25
Trades108
Winning trades35%
Time in market90%

Backtest on real historical prices from Nov 5, 2023 to Oct 4, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Long on a close above the highest high of the previous 55 bars, short on a close below the lowest low.
  2. Exit when price breaks the opposite 20-bar channel.
  3. Protective stop: exit if price moves 3× ATR(14) against the entry; no re-entry in the same direction until the signal flips.
  4. Trades both directions (long and short).
  5. Position size targets 25% annualised volatility (risk level 5/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20231.410.111.7%
2024-7.011.413.5-3.0-4.0-3.51.5-7.1-3.7-2.415.2-6.40.9%
2025-5.10.5-1.9-1.94.5-6.46.5-4.8-0.1-2.61.9-0.5-10.2%
20260.310.7-8.4-4.1-1.54.6-1.76.41.11.47.7%