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Seasonal · Turn-of-the-month seasonality

Copper Turn-of-Month · 1D

Turn-of-the-month seasonality on Copper CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−0.8%Backtest
Max drawdown−1.4%Volatility 3.9%
Sharpe-0.19Trades 4
Since go-live+0.42% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:54 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.50%+0.21%−0.08%
Live trade history · last 1: 1 in profit · 0 at a loss
ClosedMarketEntryExitResult
Oct 5, 08:54 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▲ COPPER6.59066.6021+0.16%
Backtest on real market data
May 29Jun 29Jul 31Aug 31Oct 2+0.64%−0.01%−0.66%
Annual return−0.8%
Max drawdown−1.4%
Sharpe-0.19
Trades4
Winning trades50%
Time in market20%

Backtest on real historical prices from May 29, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Long from 2 calendar day(s) before month end until day 3 of the new month; flat otherwise.
  2. Long-only: short signals mean the position is flat.
  3. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 3:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.0-0.0-0.00.7-0.6-0.4-0.3%