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Trend following · Moving-average crossover

BTC MA Cross 20/100 · 1D

Moving-average crossover on BTC/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return+0.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−26.8%Volatility 14.9%
Sharpe0.11Trades 23
Since go-live+0.09% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:52 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.15%+0.03%−0.09%
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Jun 21Oct 22Feb 24Jun 25Oct 26+31%+11%−9%
Annual return+0.5%
Max drawdown−26.8%
Sharpe0.11
Trades23
Winning trades26%
Time in market98%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jun 13, 2021 to Oct 3, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Long while the 20-bar simple moving average is above the 100-bar average; short while it is below.
  2. Trades both directions (long and short).
  3. Position size targets 12% annualised volatility (risk level 3/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20210.0-4.0-2.1-1.45.8-1.7-3.1-6.6%
20222.9-1.9-2.2-0.82.65.2-1.51.30.2-0.51.40.26.8%
20231.0-0.57.80.5-3.6-3.7-1.6-3.1-1.91.13.04.52.9%
2024-0.419.88.4-9.92.6-3.2-2.5-6.3-4.31.98.0-1.310.0%
20252.21.80.3-3.81.20.21.6-2.2-1.9-3.55.80.62.0%
20262.43.2-0.5-3.1-1.3-3.5-2.5-7.81.60.4-10.9%