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Trend following · Moving-average crossover

BTC · ETH · SOL MA Cross 20/100 · 4H

Moving-average crossover on BTC/USD, ETH/USD, SOL/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 4H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−0.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−20.2%Volatility 18.2%
Sharpe0.06Trades 164
Since go-live+0.02% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:50 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.20%+0.02%−0.16%
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Oct 24Apr 25Oct 25Apr 26Oct 26+4%−6%−16%
Annual return−0.5%
Max drawdown−20.2%
Sharpe0.06
Trades164
Winning trades32%
Time in market99%

Backtest on real historical prices from Oct 15, 2024 to Oct 4, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Long while the 20-bar simple moving average is above the 100-bar average; short while it is below.
  2. Trades both directions (long and short).
  3. Position size targets 18% annualised volatility (risk level 4/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2024-2.11.71.40.8%
2025-8.44.4-1.22.94.5-7.16.7-4.3-1.4-12.57.2-6.8-16.8%
20267.15.3-1.12.3-1.21.7-1.69.3-4.90.717.9%