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Mean reversion · Bollinger band reversion

ADA Band Reversion 20·1.5σ · 1H

Bollinger band reversion on ADA/USD CFDs, evaluated on completed 1H bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−13.2%Backtest
Max drawdown−24.5%Volatility 21.3%
Sharpe-0.54Trades 455
Since go-live+0.23% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:50 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:15 AM10:15 AM12:15 PM02:15 PM+0.40%+0.09%−0.23%
Live trade history

No trades closed yet — open positions are shown above.

Backtest on real market data
Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26+7%−5%−18%
Annual return−13.2%
Max drawdown−24.5%
Sharpe-0.54
Trades455
Winning trades65%
Time in market55%

Backtest on real historical prices from Oct 7, 2025 to Oct 4, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Buy a close below the lower band (20-bar mean − 1.5σ), sell short a close above the upper band.
  2. Exit when price returns to the moving average.
  3. Protective stop: exit if price moves 4× ATR(14) against the entry; no re-entry in the same direction until the signal flips.
  4. Trades both directions (long and short).
  5. Position size targets 25% annualised volatility (risk level 5/5), capped at 2:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
2025-1.41.1-2.3-2.6%
20264.8-2.6-5.2-0.71.43.2-12.2-3.03.70.5-10.8%