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Trend following · Long-term regime filter

Commodities Basket (6) Regime 150 · 1D

Long-term regime filter on WTI Crude Oil, Brent Crude Oil, Natural Gas, XAU/USD, XAG/USD, Copper CFDs, evaluated on completed 1D bars and executed at live bid/ask.

Annual return−2.5%Backtest
Max drawdown−1.4%Volatility 2.0%
Sharpe-1.27Trades 2
Since go-live+0.01% Live
Outside the System since Oct 5, 08:54 AM (live result below zero). It keeps running here and rejoins automatically once positive.
Live equity
06:15 AM08:00 AM09:45 AM11:30 AM01:15 PM+0.028%+0.004%−0.020%
Live trade history · last 3: 1 in profit · 2 at a loss
ClosedMarketEntryExitResult
Oct 5, 08:54 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▼ XAGUSD61.43661.694−0.43%
Oct 5, 08:54 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▲ COPPER6.59066.6038+0.19%
Oct 5, 08:54 AM
opened Oct 5, 06:29 AM
▼ XAUUSD4,155.504,166.00−0.26%
Backtest on real market data
Jun 24Jul 19Aug 13Sep 7Oct 2+0.07%−0.60%−1.27%
Annual return−2.5%
Max drawdown−1.4%
Sharpe-1.27
Trades2
Winning trades0%
Time in market85%

Backtest on real historical prices from Jun 24, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026: signals on completed bars, filled at the next bar's open, net of typical spread, commission and overnight financing. Past and backtested results are not a reliable indicator of future results. (Binance)

Methodology
  1. Hold long while price is above its 150-bar moving average; short (or flat for long-only) while below.
  2. Trades both directions (long and short).
  3. Position size targets 8% annualised volatility (risk level 2/5), capped at 3:1 leverage per instrument. Costs: live bid/ask spread, commission and overnight financing.
Monthly returns · Backtest
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecΣ
20260.00.0-1.30.60.0-0.7%